Is 2010 the year to buy a house? It certainly looks that way: After a steep run-up in prices during the first half of the decade, home values have plummeted back to 2003 levels. Fixed mortgage rates are sitting near record lows. And the foreclosure epidemic–while painful for many home owners–has created some wonderful opportunities for bargain hunters. If that’s not enough, Uncle Sam is handing out thousands of dollars in tax credits to nearly all first-time buyers and the bulk of existing home owners who close a purchase by June.

But while the 2010 outlook appears inviting, there’s one key catch. “You need to have a stable job,” says Mark Zandi, the chief economist of Moody’s Economy.com. The economy is showing signs of life, but the unemployment rate is already at 10 percent and expected to go higher. And while those mortgage rates are attractive, buying a house makes sense only if you can bank on your income stream. So before you consider purchasing a home, take a hard look at your job, your company, and your industry.

That said, here are 10 things to know about real estate in 2010:

1. Prices to bottom: After more than three years of falling, real estate values have shown signs of stabilization in recent months. At the national level, home prices slid nearly 9 percent between the third quarter of 2008 and the same period this year, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller home price report. That’s a notable improvement from the second quarter’s nearly 15 percent annual drop and the first quarter’s 19 percent decline. This improvement will give way to a bottom in home prices–finally!–in 2010, but not before additional declines, Zandi says. Zandi projects home prices will hit bottom in the third quarter of 2010 after logging a peak-to-trough decline of roughly 37 percent, based on the S&P/Case-Shiller national home price index. “That means we’ve got another roughly 10 percent [decline] to go,” Zandi says.

2. Mortgage delinquencies up: Amid falling home prices and a nasty labor market, roughly 1 in every 7 mortgages was either past due or in foreclosure by the end of the third quarter–the highest delinquency rate in the 37-year history of the Mortgage Bankers Association’s National Delinquency Survey. Two factors are expected to drive delinquencies even higher next year. First, nearly 1 in 4 homeowners currently owes more on their mortgage than the property is worth, which increases their odds of default. And secondly, the national unemployment rate–which already stands at 10 percent–will peak at about 10.5 percent in the first quarter of 2010, says Patrick Newport, an economist at IHS Global Insight. Additional job losses mean more borrowers won’t be able to pay their mortgage bills. “The [delinquency] rate is going to stay up there for quite a while because the job market is going to be really weak for a while,” Newport says.

3. Foreclosures move upstream: The number of foreclosure sales will increase to about 1.9 million in 2010, according to Moody’s Economy.com. And while we’ve already seen a growing number of more expensive homes heading into foreclosure, Heather Fernandez, vice president of marketing at the real estate search engine Trulia, expects the trend to pick up steam next year. (Trulia is a U.S. News partner.) “We are poised in 2010 to see a surge of foreclosures from prime borrowers. Hundreds of billions of dollars in option [adjustable rate] mortgages are set to be recast” next year, Fernandez says. Option adjustable rate mortgages allow borrowers to make lower monthly payments for an initial period, after which the payments adjust–or “recast”–higher. For some borrowers, the new payments can be more than twice their initial payments. Combined with other factors, like the loss of a job, a recasting option adjustable rate mortgage can make borrowers more likely to default. “These are [properties] at higher price points [and] potentially in more desirable neighborhoods,” Fernandez says.

4. Mortgage rates to rise: Anyone who purchased a home in 2009 was presented with some extremely attractive mortgage rates. Rates on 30-year, fixed mortgages fell to an average of 4.88 percent in November, down sharply from 6.09 a year earlier. A key factor behind the plunge was a Federal Reserve program, first announced in November of 2008, that purchased debt and mortgage-backed securities from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. But the program is slated to expire at the end of the first quarter, and if private investors don’t step up, fixed mortgage rates could jump. (The Fed, of course, could always decide to extend the program.) The unwinding of this Fed program, the improving economy, and mounting concern over government deficits could push rates on 30-year, fixed mortgages to roughly 5.5 percent by mid-2010 and close to 6 percent by the end of the year, says Mike Larson of Weiss Research. “Almost all signs to me point higher,” Larson says.

5. Buyer’s market remains: With prices still falling, mortgage rates remaining historically attractive, and additional homes hitting the market in the form of foreclosures, the dynamics of the real estate market will continue to favor buyers over sellers in 2010. That means those looking to buy a home next year should not feel pressured to act impulsively. “You don’t need to have a sense of urgency, but understand that as time progresses the balance of power as we get into 2010 is going to slowly but surely shift away from [buyers],” Larson says. “It is not going to be a strong seller’s market, but it will be more evenly distributed as the year goes on.” Data from the real estate firm Zillow show that home buyers are already losing the leverage they once enjoyed. While home buyers landed a median discount of 4.6 percent off listing prices in January, the size of the gap fell to 2.7 percent by October. Expect this gap to close further as 2010 marches on.

6. Modification plan could be modified: While the Obama administration has put nearly 700,000 borrowers into temporarily restructured mortgages, it had found permanent fixes for just 31,382 struggling homeowners through November. What’s more, critics have identified two key shortcomings of the government’s $75 billion antiforeclosure plan. First, the program isn’t much help for borrowers struggling to stay in their homes as the result of a job loss. And the rickety labor market is a key factor behind rising delinquencies. At the same time, the plan does not sufficiently address the issue of negative equity–owing more on your home loan than the property is worth–which also works to increase foreclosures. “The current modification program does not address negative equity and is therefore destined to fail,” Laurie Goodman, a senior managing director at Amherst Securities Group, told a congressional committee in written testimony on December 8. “It must be amended to explicitly address this problem.” Zandi says the government may move next year to overhaul the modification program in two ways: improving troubled borrowers’ negative equity positions by writing down some of the mortgage principal, and helping to turn troubled homeowners into renters.

7. FHA lending standards may increase: While banks have jacked up lending standards in the face of mounting delinquencies, mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration–which come with a minimum down payment of just 3.5 percent–have remained accessible to a wide swath of borrowers. The FHA guarantees nearly 30 percent of new-home purchase mortgages today, up sharply from just 3 percent in 2006. But the rapid growth has occurred alongside an increase in mortgage delinquencies. As a result, the FHA’s reserves have dipped below congressionally mandated levels. The development has put pressure on the Obama administration to beef up its requirements for agency-backed home loans. In early December, the Department of Housing and Urban Development announced that it would make several changes to FHA mortgage requirements: raising up-front cash requirements, boosting minimum credit scores, and perhaps charging more for insurance premiums. Additional new restrictions may be in store. Taken together, the developments could work to choke off the supply of mortgage credit to borrowers who can’t get financing elsewhere.

8. Tax credit available through June: On top of lower prices and cheap mortgage rates, Uncle Sam is offering an additional incentive to get buyers into the market next year. In early November, President Obama signed a bill extending and expanding a popular tax perk for home buyers. The legislation gives qualified first-time home buyers a tax credit of up to $8,000 if they close the purchase of a primary residence by the end of June. Meanwhile, qualified current home owners are eligible for a credit of up to $6,500 when they buy their next principal residence. But while the tax perk may make a home purchase more tempting, would-be buyers should make sure they have the job security and financial wherewithal to handle the transaction before going ahead. “Don’t let [the home buyer tax credit] be the thing that drives you to act,” Larson says.

9. Markets will vary a great deal by region: The performance of the national housing market is much less important that the dynamics of your local market, and sales and pricing trends will vary a great deal from one area to the next in 2010. “There will be geographic pockets where the values will still continue to decline, and there will be geographic pockets where they increase,” said Dale Siegel, a mortgage broker and the author of The New Rules for Mortgages. That means anyone interested in buying real estate next year can’t just read the national headlines. Instead, find a good blog that covers the local housing market and consider speaking with a real estate agent with experience in the area. Check out online listings–pay close attention to pricing and inventory trends. And make sure to head out to open houses to get a firsthand feel for the market.

10. Mobile maps can help: Advances in technology have enabled would-be home buyers to increase the efficiency of their searches. For example, Zillow’s iPhone app allows home buyers to see the estimated values and listed prices of the properties they pass on the street. The app, which is free, has been downloaded more than 830,000 times. Trulia has unveiled a similar product that allows users to find nearby open houses as well. “If you are sitting in a neighborhood having brunch on a Sunday, you can very easily pull up your phone [and] walk into open houses,” says Trulia’s Fernandez.

Article by”

Career Institute  TREC #1293
Jim Gibbs, School Director/Instructor
P.O. Box 477
Murfreesboro, TN 37133
Phone: 1-615-494-5100 (ANYTIME)
email: jimgibbs@careerinstitute.us

Mortgage interest has fallen to the lowest level since Freddie Mac began compiling its weekly survey in 1971, as the average 30-year fixed rate declined to 4.71 percent last week from 4.78 percent a week earlier.

Rates also were more attractive for 15-year fixed loans, which fell from 4.29 percent to 4.27 percent, but many consumers may not have qualified for them because they now face higher credit standards from lenders.

Still, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s index of application demand, which rose 2.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis during Thanksgiving week from the previous week, shows that consumers were looking to take advantage of mortgage rates at a historic low.

[SOURCES: Freddie Mac; Information, Inc.]

:end

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 Mack Meeks CENTURY 21 Mid-State Realty L.L.C. 1810 Sharp Springs Road, Winchester, TN 37398 Office: 931-967-4321 Fax: 931-967-9378 Cell: 931-808-8661 www.mackmeeks.com mackmeeks@century 21.com

QUESTION: I represent a buyer who is interested in a particular property in the MLS. In the REALTOR Notes for that listing, it states, “All offers require a pre-qualification letter, FICO scores, copy of earnest money and must use closing company of seller’s choice.” Is it legal/ethical to ask for FICO scores and also to demand that the buyer use the seller’s choice for a closing company?

ANSWER: The only thing we have concerns about is the dictation of who orders the title insurance (and from whom), and the closing company. Both parties are permitted to have their own closing representation, but they may have to pay for it. Under RESPA, if the buyer is paying for the title insurance, then they have the right to select its provider. However, if the seller is paying for the title insurance then it can be negotiated. Look first to the contract to determine if it indicates from which agency the title insurance will be purchased.

Another thing to keep in mind is who is issuing the policy. Often, the lender will dictate who is to issue the lender’s policy. However, if that title company is going to charge a high rate for the owner’s policy, then see if the two title companies will agree to have one company issue the policies and then split the premiums. If not, then you can indicate that the seller will bring their own owner’s policy. Often this will encourage cooperation so as to avoid paying the higher rates for the lender’s policy. Please keep in mind that this would only apply if the property were residential.

Although we do not know of anything which would prohibit requesting the FICO scores, we would hesitate to recommend it from a liability standpoint. By receiving the information which often accompanies the FICO score (such as Social Security number, account numbers, etc.), the agents involved could be opening themselves up to liability and taking on a great responsibility for safekeeping that information. We would not recommend assuming this added responsibility!

[SOURCE: TAR's Legal & Ethics Hot Line Attorneys]

Beginning on Jan. 1, 2010, the standard mileage rates for the use of a car (also vans, pickups or panel trucks) will be:

• 50 cents per mile for business miles driven
• 16.5 cents per mile driven for medical or moving purposes
• 14 cents per mile driven in service of charitable organizations

The new rates for business, medical and moving purposes are slightly lower than last year’s. The mileage rates for 2010 reflect generally lower transportation costs compared to a year ago.

The standard mileage rate for business is based on an annual study of the fixed and variable costs of operating an automobile. The rate for medical and moving purposes is based on the variable costs as determined by the same study. Independent contractor Runzheimer International conducted the study.

[SOURCE: IRS]

:end

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 Mack Meeks CENTURY 21 Mid-State Realty L.L.C. 1810 Sharp Springs Road, Winchester, TN 37398 Office: 931-967-4321 Fax: 931-967-9378 Cell: 931-808-8661 www.mackmeeks.com mackmeeks@century 21.com

NAR Frequently Asked QUESTIONS
Homebuyer Tax Credit Changes
National Association of REALTORS® Government Affairs Division
500 New Jersey Avenue, NW, Washington DC, 20001
Here are some of the most frequently asked questions on the changes to the Homebuyer Tax Credit
QUESTION: Existing homeowner credit: Must the new house cost more than the old house?
ANSWER: No. Thus, for example, individuals who move from a high cost area to a lower cost area who
meet all eligibility requirements will qualify for the $6500 credit.
QUESTION: I am an existing homeowner. On October 25, 2009, I signed a contract to purchase a
new home. I have lived in my current home for more than 5 consecutive years and
am within the new income limits. I will go to settlement on November 20. If
President Obama has signed the bill by the time I go to settlement, will I qualify for
the new $6500 tax credit?
ANSWER: Yes. The existing homeowner credit goes into effect for purchases after the date of enactment
(when the bill is signed). There is no reference to the date of contract for the new credit. The
provision looks solely to the date of purchase, which is generally the date of settlement.
QUESTION: I am a firsttime
homebuyer but was not within the prior income limits at the time I
entered into my contract to purchase on October 30, 2009. I will be covered,
however, by the new income limits. If the new rules have been signed into law by the
time I go to settlement, will I be eligible for a credit?
ANSWER: Yes. The new income limitations go into effect as soon as the President has signed the bill.
The income limit and other eligibility rules will look to your status as of the date of purchase,
which is the settlement date. So if the new rules have been signed when you go to settlement,
you should be eligible for the credit (or a portion of the credit if you’re within the phaseout
range).
QUESTION: I am an eligible existing homeowner. I have a fair amount of equity in my home. I
have found a home with a nonnegotiable
price of $825,000. Will I be able to use any
of the $6500 tax credit?
ANSWER: No. The $800,000 cap on the cost of the purchased home is firm at $800,000. Any amount
above $800,000 makes the home ineligible for any portion of the credit. The $800,000 is an
absolute ceiling.
QUESTION: I owned my home for 10 years, but sold it two years ago year and have been renting
since. If I purchase a home, will I be eligible for the $6500 tax credit if I meet all the
other eligibility tests?
ANSWER: Yes. Because you lived in the home for more than 5 consecutive years of the previous 8, you
will qualify for the $6500 credit. For example, Say John and his wife bought a home in 2000
and lived there until 2008 when he got a divorce. Whether John has been renting or bought in
the interim, he WOULD INDEED be eligible for the credit because he owned a home and
occupied it as his principal residence for 5 consecutive years out of the last 8 years. The
keyword here is “consecutive.” As long as he lived in that house for 5 years straight what he
did since 3 years doesn’t impact eligibility.
QUESTION: I am an eligible firsttime
homebuyer. I entered into a contract to purchase on
November 1, 2009. Do I have to go to closing before December 1? How does the
extension date affect me?
ANSWER: You do not have to close before December 1. Once the legislation has been signed, it will be as
if the Nov 30 date had never existed. Therefore, so long as the contract settles before April 30
(or July 1, worst case), the purchaser will be eligible for the credit.

:End

As reported at this week’s Governor’s Housing Summit:

*** BEGIN QUOTE ***
Foreclosures are still on the rise in Tennessee. In the second quarter of 2009, Tennessee reported 10,477 foreclosure filings, a one percent increase from the previous quarter (Q1_09). There was one foreclosure filing for every 260 households, which puts Tennessee in 21st place in the nation. Within the state, Shelby County ranked as number one among all counties in Tennessee both in terms of ratio (1 foreclosure filing for every 106 households) and in terms of total number of foreclosure filings (3,769 foreclosure filings).
*** END QUOTE ***

The national average filing ratio for the same quarter was 1 filing for every 144 households.

[SOURCE: THDA]

[email:supplied]